Arizona vs Coastal Carolina Prediction: 2025 College World Series
Last updated June 12, 2025
The Arizona Wildcats are set to open their College World Series run this Friday against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, in an Omaha rematch charged with history and high stakes. Arizona enters Omaha energized, coming off a dramatic late-game win in Chapel Hill, while Coastal Carolina arrives with a blazing 23-game winning streak. Here, we make our Arizona vs Coastal Carolina prediction, as part of our college baseball predictions from the College World Series.
Our Arizona vs Coastal Carolina Pick
Pick: Coastal Carolina -1.5 on the runline
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
Matchup: Arizona Wildcats vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 2025, at 2 p.m. ET
Stadium: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha, NE
Broadcast: ESPN
| Moneyline | Runline (±1.5) | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Coastal Carolina -230 / Arizona +175 | Coastal -1.5 (-125) / Arizona +1.5 (-105) | O/U 9.5 |
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Coastal Carolina enters with an elite starting pitcher in Jacob Morrison (2.15 ERA, 95 strikeouts over 96.1 innings). Arizona counters with Smith Bailey and sophomore Owen Kramkowski. Bailey carries a 4.01 ERA in 83 innings, while Kramkowski tops Arizona with nine wins, 87 innings, and 83 strikeouts. Coastal’s experienced rotation has the clear edge in control and consistency.
Bullpen usage
Arizona’s bullpen has locked down tight games in tournament play. Relievers Julian Tonghini, Casey Hintz, and closer Tony Pluta (school record 14 saves) preserved their title hopes in Chapel Hill. But Coastal Carolina, riding momentum from starters who eat innings efficiently, will also be tough in the bullpen department.
Recent team streaks
Coastal Carolina rolls into Omaha on a 23-game winning streak, the nation's longest.
Arizona arrives hot as well, having won on the road in the Supers against a top-five North Carolina team.
Betting Trends & H2H
Arizona and Coastal last met in the 2016 CWS final, where Coastal edged Arizona 4‑3. Both teams enter this game with momentum. Arizona’s recent games have been high-scoring, with four of their last five games seeing at least one team score in double-digits. Coastal is 5-0 in tournament play so far and will look to extend that winning streak here.
Arizona vs Coastal Carolina Model Projection
Score Projection: Coastal Carolina 5 – Arizona 3
Win Probability: Coastal Carolina 63%, Arizona 37%
Final Thoughts
The rematch of the 2016 championship should open the action from Omaha with a bang. Coastal Carolina’s elite pitching and 23-game win streak give them the edge in run prevention and consistency. Arizona’s bullpen is sharp, but their starters enter with higher ERAs and could struggle to contain Coastal’s bats early. Laying the runline on Coastal is a value play here, considering their dominant form. Expect a decisive win for the Chanticleers to open their College World Series campaign.
