Louisville vs Oregon State Prediction: 2025 College World Series
Last updated June 12, 2025
The opening Friday of College World Series play features an exciting showdown as Louisville faces a powerful Oregon State squad. Both teams needed three games to get through the Super Regionals in front of their home fans and this matchup could be just as unpredictable as the last round was for them. Here, I break down this contest and give you my Louisville vs Oregon State prediction as the action gets going from Omaha.
Our Louisville vs Oregon State Pick
Pick: Oregon State Beavers moneyline
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
Matchup: Louisville Cardinals vs Oregon State Beavers
Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 2025, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Stadium: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha, NE
Broadcast: ESPN
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | +124 | +1.5 (-145) | O/U 10 |
| Oregon State | -160 | -1.5 (+114) |
Key Storylines
- Pitching form: Louisville heads to Omaha with a 40–22 record and quality arms emerging in the postseason. Their weekend rotation has been reliable but lacks a bona fide ace, which could hurt them here.
- Bullpen usage: The Cardinals leaned heavily on relievers like Schweitzer and Cutts in close Super Regional wins, both of whom will be key figures in this game and beyond.
- Recent team streaks: Louisville closed out the Super Regional by winning 3‑2 over Miami, recovering from an earlier loss. Oregon State edged FSU in a tight 14‑10 finale after a comeback, showing clutch offense and late-game poise.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Louisville has posted a 5‑1 mark in the tournament and went 40‑22 overall on the season. They’ve been solid in high‑leverage postseason situations so far.
- Oregon State went 47‑14‑1 this year, though they have been underestimated heading into Omaha due to their conference situation following the Pac-12's mass exodus.
- Louisville has limited history vs Oregon State in baseball, though the Beavers won their meeting in the 2013 College World Series 11-4.
Louisville vs Oregon State Model Projection
Score Projection: Oregon State 7 – Louisville 4
Win Probability: Louisville 38%, Oregon State 62%
Final Thoughts
Oregon State enters this opener with more consistent firepower, a deeper bullpen, and coming off a more impressive Super Regionals triumph. Their identity as a long-ball team, with regular home run outbursts, makes them a perfect fit for Omaha’s offense-friendly venue. Louisville impressed with gritty wins to get here, but may struggle to match OSU’s offensive punch over nine innings. Bettors making their college baseball picks should back Oregon State on the moneyline, with the potential for a comfortable margin of victory.
