Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction: Fayetteville Super Regional Preview
Last updated June 5, 2025
The 2025 NCAA Baseball Super Regionals bring a high-stakes clash between two Southeastern Conference powerhouses: the 14-seed Tennessee Volunteers and the 3-seed Arkansas Razorbacks. This best-of-three series kicks off on Saturday, June 7, at Baum–Walker Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Both teams are vying for a spot in the College World Series in Omaha, and the series promises to be a tightly contested battle. Here, you will find our analysis and our Tennessee vs Arkansas prediction as we make our betting picks for every Super Regionals series.
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Tennessee vs Arkansas Super Regionals Preview
Arkansas enters the Super Regionals with a 46–13 overall record, having swept the Fayetteville Regional with decisive victories over North Dakota State and Creighton. The Razorbacks boast a potent offense, with two players hitting .350 or better and a combined 120 home runs as a team. Their pitching staff is anchored by Gabe Gaeckle, who has found his rhythm after early-season struggles, and Zach Root, who has been a reliable starter throughout the season.
Tennessee, the defending national champions, has reloaded after losing key players to the MLB Draft. The Volunteers' lineup features outfielder Hunter Ensley (.343/.427/.545, 10 HRs, 62 RBI) and infielder Dean Curley (.315/.436/.523, 13 HRs, 48 RBIs), providing experience and power. On the mound, Liam Doyle (10-3, 2.84 ERA, 158 strikeouts in 92 innings) leads a pitching staff that has been instrumental in the team's success.
Offensively, Tennessee is third in the nation with 128 home runs. Arkansas counters with a balanced attack, relying less on home run power and more on all-around hitting ability. Their pitching staff has depth and experience, with Root and Gaeckle leading the way. The Razorbacks' recent series win over Tennessee in May, featuring 8–6 and 8–4 wins, adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.
Betting Insights
Arkansas is a slight favorite to advance to Omaha, with odds of -146, while Tennessee is a +114 underdog to win this Super Regionals series. As of June 5, 2025, the betting odds for the College World Series reflect the strength of both programs. Arkansas is listed at +380, while Tennessee is close behind at +500. These odds suggest a closely contested series, with Arkansas holding a slight edge due to home-field advantage and recent head-to-head success.
For bettors, key factors to consider include:
- Home-Field Advantage: Arkansas' strong performance at Baum–Walker Stadium could provide a significant boost.
- Recent Matchup History: Arkansas' 2-1 series win over Tennessee in May indicates a potential psychological edge.
- Bullpen Performance: Tennessee's bullpen has been exceptional, particularly in high-leverage situations.
- Offensive Firepower: Tennessee's home run hitting could be a game-changer if they can crack the Arkansas rotation.
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Tennessee vs Arkansas Super Regionals Prediction
This Super Regional matchup is as close as it gets, with both teams possessing the talent and depth to advance to Omaha and win the CWS. Arkansas' recent success against Tennessee and home-field advantage give them a slight edge. However, Tennessee's explosive offense and dominant bullpen cannot be overlooked.
Expect a hard-fought series that goes the distance. Arkansas' balanced attack and familiarity with Tennessee's lineup may prove decisive in the end.
- Game 1: Arkansas wins a close contest, leveraging their home-field advantage and timely hitting.
- Game 2: Tennessee bounces back, with their bullpen shutting down the Razorbacks' offense late.
- Game 3: Arkansas edges out Tennessee in a nail-biter, clinching the series and advancing to the College World Series.
Series Prediction: Arkansas wins 2-1.
